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Oscar Watching: Our Eleventh Hour Oscar Predictions

It’s finally (almost) here: Oscar Night. Long months of interviews, screenings, and all-round schmoozing come down to this.

Unfortunately, I saw most of the twists and turns of the last month from farther away than usual – I didn’t even do a SAG recap. The school semester so far has been rewarding but incredibly time-consuming. But you probably know all the ins and outs of this season; if we have anything in common, though, you have no idea what’s gonna happen next.

Best Picture

Boyhood feels like a safe bet here, despite the love for Birdman. The latter would be such an odd choice for the motion-picture academy, no?

1. Boyhood

2. Birdman

3. The Grand Budapest Hotel

4. The Imitation Game

5. American Sniper

6. Whiplash

7. Selma

8. The Theory of Everything


Best Director

In a year with so much love spread among all the major contenders, this could be the only major win for Birdman.

1. Alejandro González Iñárritu for Birdman

2. Richard Linklater for Boyhood

3. Wes Anderson for The Grand Budapest Hotel

4. Morten Tyldum for The Imitation Game

5. Bennett Miller for Foxcatcher


Best Actress in a Leading Role

This was finished months ago, back when Sony Pictures Classics picked up the Julianne Moore-led drama Still Alice. She steamrolled through the season with no real competition, and it’ll be lovely to see her finally win.

1. Julianne Moore for Still Alice

2. Felicity Jones for The Theory of Everything

3. Rosamund Pike for Gone Girl

4. Reese Witherspoon for Wild

5. Marion Cotillard for Two Days, One Night

Eddie Redmayne

Best Actor in a Leading Role

A toss-up between Eddie Redmayne‘s method, My Left Foot-esque performance and Michael Keaton‘s meta, career-reviving comic turn. Have to go with my gut on this one: Redmayne wins.

1. Eddie Redmayne for The Theory of Everything

2. Michael Keaton for Birdman

3. Bradley Cooper for American Sniper

4. Benedict Cumberbatch for The Imitation Game

5. Steve Carell for Foxcatcher


Best Actress in a Supporting Role

Patricia Arquette‘s subdued but powerful performance remained the favorite throughout the season.

1. Patricia Arquette for Boyhood

2. Emma Stone for Birdman

3. Keira Knightley for The Imitation Game

4. Laura Dern for Wild

5. Meryl Streep for Into the Woods


Best Actor in a Supporting Role

Character actor J.K. Simmons gets shouty in an acclaimed drama. How can Oscar voters not give him the trophy?

1. J.K. Simmons for Whiplash

2. Edward Norton for Birdman

3. Ethan Hawke for Boyhood

4. Mark Ruffalo for Foxcatcher

5. Robert Duvall for The Judge


Best Original Screenplay

If the year is as split as we think it is, can’t Wes Anderson take this?

1. Wes Anderson for The Grand Budapest Hotel

2. Alejandro Gonzáles Iñárritu, Nicolás Giacobone, Alexander Dinelaris, and Armando Bo for Birdman

3. Richard Linklater for Boyhood

4. E. Max Frye and Dan Futterman for Foxcatcher

5. Dan Gilroy for Nightcrawler


Best Adapted Screenplay

We’ve been thinking that The Imitation Game is a major contender, but this is the only major prize it can win, right?

1. Graham Moore for The Imitation Game

2. Damien Chazelle for Whiplash

3. Jason Hall for American Sniper

4. Anthony McCarten for The Theory of Everything

5. Paul Thomas Anderson for Inherent Vice

A toss-up in animated feature

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The Author

Donovan Warren

Donovan Warren

Donovan Warren loves the wonderful world of film and all that comes with it. He specifically loves long takes, fabulous actresses, and keeping up with the Oscar season - even when it's far too early to make sense of anything.