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Oscar Watching: HUSTLE for 12 YEARS

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Best Actress in a Leading Role

No one new, no one without gold on her mantle already, no one challenging Cate Blanchett – or so it seems. We expect Oscar to copy and paste the SAG lineup, but Streep might be vulnerable if she loses the Globe (very likely) and/or misses with the British Academy of Film and Television Arts (BAFTA), which announces its nominees on Jan. 8. Key awards groups don’t love Banks, and box office might be a problem, too, so Emma Thompson isn’t so safe either.

Wouldn’t it be strange for an Oscar darling like Amy Adams to miss for a front-runner like Hustle? BAFTA voters might throw her and Adèle Exarchopoulos into their lineup; BFCA gave Brie Larson a boost, so maybe she or Exarchopoulos can break through to a nomination. This does look like Blanchett’s award to lose, though I can see a (televised) win for Judi Dench at the Globes changing the course of this race.

1. Cate Blanchett for Blue Jasmine

2. Judi Dench for Philomena

3. Sandra Bullock for Gravity

4. Amy Adams for American Hustle

5. Emma Thompson for Saving Mr. Banks

6. Meryl Streep for August: Osage County
7. Adèle Exarchopoulos for Blue is the Warmest Color
8. Brie Larson for Short Term 12
9. Julia Louis-Dreyfus for Enough Said
10. Julie Delpy for Before Midnight

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Best Actor in a Leading Role

I almost predicted the Robert Redford “snub” at SAG. Alas, no bragging rights for me. Like Oscar, SAG might be a contest between veteran Bruce Dern and Matthew McConaughey, the movie star who’s recently reminded us that he’s isn’t just a guy who looks (very) good when he’s not wearing a shirt – I keep going back and forth between them. I think they’ll take their respective Globes, too, though Dern might be vulnerable there if Hustle continues to build momentum.

1. Matthew McConaughey for Dallas Buyers Club

2. Bruce Dern for Nebraska

3. Chiwetel Ejiofor for 12 Years a Slave

4. Tom Hanks for Captain Phillips

5. Forest Whitaker for Lee Daniels’ The Butler

6. Leonardo DiCaprio for The Wolf of Wall Street
7. Robert Redford for All is Lost
8. Michael B. Jordan for Fruitvale Station
9. Christian Bale for American Hustle
10. Joaquin Phoenix for Her

 

Who dominates the supporting races?

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The Author

Donovan Warren

Donovan Warren

Donovan Warren loves the wonderful world of film and all that comes with it. He specifically loves long takes, fabulous actresses, and keeping up with the Oscar season - even when it's far too early to make sense of anything.