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Oscar Watching: Consensus Evades 2013


Best Actress in a Supporting Role


The superstar faces off against the breakthrough whose questionable career prospects trump her superb, Oscar-worthy acting; the superstar wins. Over in the best actress race, this kept Gabourey Sidibe from winning against Bullock in 2009 and Emmanuelle Riva, who broke through to a newfound prominence in the States, from winning against Lawrence last year.

Something similar might transpire in 2013 as Lupita Nyong’o might lose this to Oprah Winfrey. Yes, people know Winfrey not for her occasional cinematic turns but for her empire and talk show, but let’s be honest: Winfrey is still more famous than anyone in this competition, and her previous Oscar nomination only bolsters her case for the win. This is also voters’ best opportunity to honor Lee Daniels’ The Butler.

However, Lawrence is another superstar very much in the race after her NYFCC win. Maybe she and Oprah cancel each other out to pave the way for a Nyong’o win. Hey, I can dream.

1. Lupita Nyong’o for 12 Years a Slave

2. Oprah Winfrey for Lee Daniels’ The Butler

3. Jennifer Lawrence for American Hustle

4. June Squibb for Nebraska

5. Octavia Spencer for Fruitvale Station

6. Sally Hawkins for Blue Jasmine
7. Julia Roberts for August: Osage County
8. Scarlett Johansson for Her
9. Margo Martindale for August: Osage County
10. Sarah Paulson for 12 Years a Slave

Also in the running: Melissa Leo for Prisoners, Carey Mulligan for Inside Llewyn Davis, Amy Adams for Her, Léa Seydoux for Blue is the Warmest Color, Emily Watson for The Book Thief, Juliette Lewis for August: Osage County, Kristen Wiig for The Secret Life of Walter Mitty, Shirley MacLaine for The Secret Life of Walter Mitty, Naomie Harris for Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom, Jennifer Garner for Dallas Buyers Club, Julianne Nicholson for August: Osage County, Zoë Saldana for Out of the Furnace, Adepero Oduye for 12 Years a Slave, Mare Winningham for Philomena

Does Jared Leto’s NYFCC win make him the front-runner?

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The Author

Donovan Warren

Donovan Warren

Donovan Warren loves the wonderful world of film and all that comes with it. He specifically loves long takes, fabulous actresses, and keeping up with the Oscar season - even when it's far too early to make sense of anything.